Supplemental Graphs 

These figures supplement the analysis presented in the Monkey Cage.

texas_weighted_mc_by_county.png

By COunty

This plot the precinct level vote share across three county types. Smaller population counties, medium population counties are larger population counties. The lines are a weighted loess regression that estimates the vote share for each candidate (y-axis) across the percent Latino in the precinct (x-axis).

texas_weighted_mc.png

Texas Weighted

This plot shows the vote share across all sampled counties in Texas. The lines are a weighted loess regression that estimates the vote share for each candidate (y-axis) across the percent Latino in the precinct (x-axis).

ld_vs_exit.png

Exit vs LD

This plot shows the density of precinct level EI estimates across TX noting the position of the Edison Exit Poll and Latino Decisions Election Eve Survey. The x-axis is the estimated Latino vote for Clinton. As the plot shows, the Edison Exit poll estimate lies outside the vast majority of estimates. There are about 3% of precincts where a result this size is possible.